Transit of cocaine trafficking in the Atlantic
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Transit of cocaine trafficking in the Atlantic

In the fight against cocaine trafficking through the Atlantic Ocean, Navies and drug enforcements agencies must deal with ever more ingenious traffickers. While the routes taken remain similar, the types of vectors and vessels differ according to the preferred modus operandi. West Africa and its main ports are also playing an increasingly important role in this traffic, where the region is becoming a redistribution platform and a fast-growing consumption area.

In order to move as much cocaine as possible from the producing countries, mostly in Latin America, to the consuming countries, traffickers show ingenuity and constant innovation, constituting an adaptation challenge for enforcement agencies, navies and the maritime industry.

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Turkey votes for its future
Patricia Zaharia Patricia Zaharia

Turkey votes for its future

Turkey held general and presidential elections on May 14, 2023, with no decisive winner emerging on May 15, although indications suggested that the incumbent, Erdogan, would survive the vote, including winning a majority in the parliamentary election. The opposition coalition led by Kılıçdaroğlu presented a serious electoral alternative, campaigning to restore ties with Europe and NATO, and to restore Turkish democracy.

General and presidential elections were held in Turkey on 14 May 2023. The last elections were in June 2018. A presidential candidate must achieve above 50% of the vote in order to be elected. No decisive winner emerged on Monday 15 May – although some indications were that the incumbent Erdoğan would survive the vote – including winning a majority in the parliamentary election. For president Erdoğan, and his Justice and Development Party (AKP), this election was a high stakes contest – with political survival hinging on some of the narrowest poll margins.

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1 May – International Workers’ Rights Day: A reminder of Europe’s workers and their demands
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

1 May – International Workers’ Rights Day: A reminder of Europe’s workers and their demands

Recent labour-related agitation in Europe has shown that the times in which employers could dictate wages and working conditions are over. Logistic companies continue to be directly affected by these developments, a trend that we expect to continue in the short term of the next 1-3 years.

Zooming in on recent labour-related activism in France and Germany, two key economic countries in Europe, emphasises how labour unions and ordinary workers have gained increasing power in their quest to achieve higher wages and better working conditions.

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Myanmar: Political crisis continues to escalate after two years
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Myanmar: Political crisis continues to escalate after two years

Since the coup, the anti-regime opposition has frequently bombed and attacked military facilities. Due to the deteriorating security situation, the military declared a six-month state of emergency. In Myanmar, strikes and violence persist. Port operations are anticipated to continue as usual, despite the predicted disruptions to road traffic and businesses over the next few months.

Two years have passed since the Myanmar armed forces seized control of the government on 1 February 2021 following a general election which Aung San Suu Kyi’s party won by a landslide. Since then, the military crackdown on the National League for Democracy (NLD) has been ferocious.

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The global business of cocaine trafficking
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

The global business of cocaine trafficking

During the last two years, the amount of cocaine trafficked from Latin America to the rest of the world has reached record levels, bringing to light new routes of interest, criminal actors, and methods of smuggling. Most of the traffic takes place by sea on cargo ships, possibly causing severe repercussions for shipping companies.

Cocaine trafficking is a huge global business worth billions of euros yearly. Since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic, the amount of cocaine manufactured and trafficked has increased to historical highs. More specifically, estimates show that in 2020 around 1980 tons of cocaine were produced, while in 2021 this amount increased to approximately 2675 tons.

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Mass protests in France cause disruption an chaos across the country
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Mass protests in France cause disruption an chaos across the country

A coalition of France’s major labour unions began a nationwide strike on 07 March to protest the French government’s pension reform. Millions of people have since been mobilised in opposition to the reform during nine nationwide and interunion strikes. The demonstrations have caused major disruptions and increasingly grow violent. An end to the strikes is currently not in sight.

The strike has caused major disruptions, particularly affecting the French transport and energy sectors. Workers of French ports have implemented several so-called “dead ports days”, in which port activity was massively disrupted and ships were prevented from docking.

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Asia: The impact of activism on specific sectors
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Asia: The impact of activism on specific sectors

In contrast with protesters in Europe and the Americas, activists in Asia are less prone to board vessels in the offshore and oil and gas sector, but rather have focused on protecting their fisheries and target operations that pose a threat to the fish stocks.

Unlike other regions, activities of activists in Asia that target the maritime shipping sector do not generate many headlines. Lately in the shipping press one activist activity that has recently been addressed are the strikes of shipyard workers in South Korea, some of whom have conducted hunger strikes and occupied vessels under construction.

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Captagon smuggling: An expanding challenge in the Mediterranean
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Captagon smuggling: An expanding challenge in the Mediterranean

The sharp increase in the scale of the captagon trade and the diversification of smuggling routes witnessed in recent years ought to draw attention to the potential impact of this traffic on the Mediterranean security landscape.

Produced in Syria and, to a lesser extent, the Beqaa valley of Lebanon, it is overwhelmingly destined for markets in the Gulf countries, primarily Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The amphetamine-type stimulant has recently been at the heart of significant media investigations and political debates following its reported link with, amongst others, the Syrian government and Hezbollah.

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Major disruptions ahead – new French pension reform strikes
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Major disruptions ahead – new French pension reform strikes

The Confédération Générale du Travail (CGT) is organising a statewide strike on 7 and 8 March 2023, to protest the French government's proposed pension reform. The statewide strike is expected to cause significant disruptions, particularly for logistics companies.

Key sectors in the French economy are expected to be affected by the nationwide strike. The railways, docks and ports and energy industries are planned to be the most disrupted, whilst chemical industries and glasses and ceramics groups have also announced their support.

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Climate activists united in Global Climate Strike 2023
Patricia Zaharia Patricia Zaharia

Climate activists united in Global Climate Strike 2023

The climate change activism group Fridays for Future is in their final preparations for their yearly Global Day of Climate Action, held on Friday, 03 March 2023. The climate activists will protest the continued use of fossil fuels, demanding an immediate end to the financing of international fossil fuel projects.

As protests are expected to occur on almost every continent, hundreds of demonstrations have already been registered worldwide. Most protests are planned in North America and Europe. The European countries with the most registered protests include Germany, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and Italy.

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Somalia boosts blue economy policy
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Somalia boosts blue economy policy

Several government ministries and foreign partners will collaborate to improve Somalia's maritime domain enforcement to prevent IUU fishing, including the support from the international community for capacity building and port security. Despite this foresight, onshore security remains weak, and the government must secure crucial districts in the south while also strengthening security in Mogadishu.

The federal government of Somalia in February launched its Women in Maritime Sector (WiMS) National Action Plan, part of its wider drive towards a comprehensive plan for building Somalia’s so-called Blue Economy in its maritime domain.

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Transnistria - the Russian-backed breakaway region
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Transnistria - the Russian-backed breakaway region

Relations between Transnistria and Russia have been strong for a long time, but the war in Ukraine has increased attention on this relationship. With Transnistria seeing itself as separate from Moldova, certain issues , such as fraud, corruption and Russian military activity are of particular concern. Any major developments in Ukraine, leading to conflicts are likely to affect Moldovan-Transnistria relations.

The unrecognized break-away state of Transnistria is located between Moldova to the west and Ukraine to the east. Previously it rarely received much attention. However, following the Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 – this changed.

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Sabotage as a hybrid threat to Europe's critical infrastructure
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Sabotage as a hybrid threat to Europe's critical infrastructure

Recent sabotage attacks on Europe’s critical infrastructure have drawn attention to the issue of hybrid security threats and revealed how vulnerable we and our societal structures are to the criminal acts of hostile actors. To achieve more resilience in the face of recurring disruptions and disorders, governments and private businesses should implement contingency plans.

The attack on the Nord Stream gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea in September 2022 has highlighted the fragility of Europe’s most important infrastructures, and thus the significance of hybrid security threats.

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Pakistan’s economic crisis impacts the shipping sector
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Pakistan’s economic crisis impacts the shipping sector

Weak governance and political instability contributed to the crisis, causing investor confidence to drop and corruption to rise. More protests and blockades are expected in the coming months, leading to business disruptions and shipping delays.

Pakistan is facing a severe economic crisis. Its economy is on the verge of collapsing due to a political crisis, a depreciating Pakistani rupee and inflation at decades-high levels, devastating floods, and a significant shortage of energy. Pakistan has also been highly dependent on its import sector, particularly energy imports, which made the country vulnerable to soaring gas and oil prices.

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Drug smuggling in the Arabian Gulf
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Drug smuggling in the Arabian Gulf

As the Gulf countries grapple with soaring drug consumption rates, drug smugglers rely on merchant traffic to satisfy demand, with potential consequences for vessel operators.

Amid a spate of large weapon seizures from shows in the Indian Ocean, it is easy to forget that commercial traffic is frequently disrupted by massive drug seizures in the region’s ports. Indeed, gulf nations are experiencing a public drug addiction crisis not unlike the one seen in the US in the 1980’s: volumes of drug seizures in Gulf countries are increasing, and authorities seem swamped by the influx of narcotics. Saudi Arabia seized an estimated 119 million captagon pills in 2021, with figures suggesting that the trend will be increasing for 2022 and 2023.

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Yemen: Prospects for peace?
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Yemen: Prospects for peace?

Negotiations between the Saudis and Houthis could lead to a form of peace in Yemen, but not necessarily for all. With no major fighting ongoing, the factions’ struggle for control of hydrocarbon facilities, aided by replenished forces, could lead to new threats to shipping along Yemen’s southern coast.

Signs of a peace agreement may be emerging again in Yemen. Negotiations are ongoing between the Houthis and the Saudi government which appears keen to leave the quagmire it waded into in 2015. The negotiations may be paving the way for a de facto Houthi state covering the Houthi heartlands in Northern Yemen, along with Sana’a and Hudaydah. Though talk abounds of a de jure state with all the trappings of an independent country, it is difficult to anticipate the nature of the new entity.

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Spanish police end 2022 with several arrests of criminal networks across Spain
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Spanish police end 2022 with several arrests of criminal networks across Spain

With the year of 2022 coming to an end, Spanish law enforcement has had a busy three months, successfully dismantling numerous highly organised criminal cargo theft gangs, responsible for thefts worth several million Euros. Zooming in on some of these incidents helps us understand how criminal gangs operate and why breaking them up is such a difficult task.

During operation “Sawtruck”, Civil Guard officers detained 17 people for the theft of numerous trucks and cargo loads. The criminal network consisted of two different groups. The first group, disguised as ordinary truck drivers, visited truck parking lots overnight and slashed peep holes in trailer curtains to identify suitable cargo for theft.

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Sudanese political deal: A new agreement with the same players
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Sudanese political deal: A new agreement with the same players

The new political framework deal has been presented by its backers as a breakthrough for Sudan’s transition, which will consecrate civilian rule over the country. Many others see this as a pie-sharing deal meant to appease rival political elites and to circumvent popular demands for democracy, with no indication of any commitment to a democratic process.

The signing of the new Political Framework deal on Monday 5 December 2022 in Sudan has been hailed as a step forward by several domestic and foreign parties. The deal stipulates that the military will “return to its barracks”, as General Burhan, leader of the October 2021 coup said, and that the government will gradually return to civilian control.

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Southeast Asia: Ongoing smuggling and the impact on vessel operations
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Southeast Asia: Ongoing smuggling and the impact on vessel operations

From drugs, fuel and consumer goods to migrants and refugees, smugglers are active throughout Southeast Asia, yet the impact on commercial shipping for the time being has generally been inconsequential.

There is a significant degree of smuggling activity taking place on the waters of Southeast Asia. Crime syndicates and human traffickers are continuously moving a wide range of illicit cargoes throughout the region including large quantities of narcotics, fuel, consumer goods, weapons as well as refugees, migrants and persons entrapped and relocated against their will. Law enforcement agencies in the region intercept shipments of methamphetamine, diesel and cooking oil, heroin, cannabis, ecstasy, tobacco, endangered/protected species alongside illegal transports of people on a regular basis.

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Houthis and the oil trade: State-building through drone strikes
Hasibe Salim Hasibe Salim

Houthis and the oil trade: State-building through drone strikes

There have been a series of drone strikes on southern Yemeni terminals in recent weeks. They come in the wake of heightened tensions in the southern hinterlands, but also follow a number of announcements by the Houthis aimed at deterring oil trade, which they claim is robbing Yemenis of their wealth. This rhetoric is not new in Yemeni politics, and it echoes a feeling shared by many Yemenis, regardless of whom they support.

The oil trade, including its infrastructure such as in Ash Shihr and Qena, among others, has been the nexus of recent months’ fighting between various southern factions, some foreign backed. There have been many strikes on oil facilities, pipeline control facilities and overland oil convoys as far as 160 km inland, as Shabwani, Hadrami and other militias fight for control of the provinces and lucrative trade routes.

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