White papers
A US Drawdown in Europe: Challenges and Options for NATO
While the US has long announced an intent to direct more of its attention and military capabilities towards the Pacific to balance a rising China, the unpredictability of the second Trump administration and leaked plans detailing a dramatic and rapid drawdown in US forces dedicated to the defence of Europe as part of NATO's Article 5 has created a new urgency.
Senior Advisor Robin Häggblom looks at what can be done by the European NATO-countries to cover this shortfall in capability, and whether the most impactful question really is the number of fighter jets in NATO's operational planning
The Expansion of the Russia–Ukraine War into the Baltic Sea (2025–2026)
The Baltic Sea has for many decision makers and analysts turned from a low-intensity maritime area to an area of hybrid threats and NATO-Russia confrontation. Still, this somewhat misses the mark. With the intensifying Ukrainian drone campaign against Russian energy export terminals near St Petersburg, the Baltic Sea is no longer an area of grey zone action but has turned into an active theatre of war. This has, and will, come with extensive implications for regular commercial shipping.
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