Risk Intelligence

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Monthly Intelligence Report December 2022

This month’s issue of the Monthly Intelligence Report covers incidents that took place between November 1 - 30, 2022, in three focus regions:

  • West Africa

  • Western Indian Ocean (including the Persian Gulf)

  • South East Asia

Focus topic: Maritime implications of the war in Ukraine

The renewal of the Black Sea Grain Initiative was the most important development related to the maritime security situation in the Black Sea in November. Despite the renewal, however, questions regarding the actual implementation remain as the initiative relies on continued participation from the Ukrainian and the Russian side.

This month's risk and threat assessment

In the report's assessment, the main incidents are put into a broader context to highlight current threat levels and potential changes for maritime operations. Moreover, the report includes forecasts that cover the main concerns in the coming weeks.